Things You Should Know About Medical Research Stories
Number Needed to Treat
The number needed to treat, or NNT, is the number of patients who need to be treated to prevent one additional bad outcome, calculated as 1/Absolute Risk Reduction.
So, let's look at our hypothetical diabetes blindness drug example.
Let's say the risk for blindness in a patient with diabetes over a 5-year period is 2 in 100 (2%) in a group of patients treated conventionally and 1 in 100 (1%) in patients treated with a new drug. So the absolute difference is derived by simply subtracting the two risks: 2% - 1% = 1%.
The number needed to treat would be 1 / 1% (or .01) = 100.
So you would need to treat 100 people with diabetes for 5 years in order to prevent one case of blindness. You can see that this is an important way to look at new claims about new drugs.
This is a brief introduction to the concept of NNTs. More information, including different ways to calculate NNTs, is available here.
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